Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?
Arda Kardzhali starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arda Kardzhali win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Botev Vratsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 2-3 Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 3-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali 2-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali on Jul 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in First League (10 points from 5 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 14th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa is played on August 31, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.