Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Balzan FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Sliema Wanderers (1,526) and Balzan FC (1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sliema Wanderers have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Balzan FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Melita(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sliema Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Balzan FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Balzan FC 2-3 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sliema Wanderers 2-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Balzan FC 1-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Balzan FC | FA Trophy |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| May 6, 2022 | Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Balzan FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Balzan FC vs Sliema Wanderers on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balzan FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Balzan FC | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sliema Wanderers sit 10th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Balzan FC sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC?
- The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Balzan FC.
- Where and when is Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC played?
- Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.