Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Moldova U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17?
Slovenia U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,595 Elo points against 1,287 — a 308-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovenia U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Moldova U17 have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | North Macedonia U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Germany U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | France U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 2-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Liechtenstein U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Gibraltar U17(away) | 7-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Finland U17(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hungary U17(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Belarus U17(home) | 0-6 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovenia U17 score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Moldova U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia U17 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Moldova U17 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovenia U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Moldova U17 sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moldova U17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 2 | Slovenia U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17?
- The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Moldova U17.
- Where and when is Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17 played?
- Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17 is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17