Match

Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Slovenia U17Moldova U17

The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Moldova U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17?

Slovenia U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,595 Elo points against 1,287 — a 308-point gap.

Slovenia U17 win61 %
Draw20 %
Moldova U17 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovenia U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Moldova U17 have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slovenia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026North Macedonia U17(away)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Germany U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026France U17(home)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Portugal U17(home)2-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025Liechtenstein U17(home)5-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Moldova U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Gibraltar U17(away)7-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026Finland U17(away)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Hungary U17(away)1-3Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025Belarus U17(home)0-6UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Slovenia U17 score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Moldova U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slovenia U171.81.259/159/15
Moldova U170.62.132/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slovenia U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Moldova U17 sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Moldova U173120705
2Slovenia U173201956

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17?
The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Moldova U17.
Where and when is Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17 played?
Slovenia U17 vs Moldova U17 is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slovenia U17 and Moldova U17

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