Smorgon vs Minsk II: result 2-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 16, 2013 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadyen Junatstva, Smorgon
Full time
What was the result of Smorgon vs Minsk II?
Smorgon won 2-1 on November 16, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smorgon have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Minsk II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | Lida(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Granit(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2013 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Polotsk(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Volna(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | Khimik Svetlogorsk(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Lida(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2013 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Granit(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Smolevichi-Sti(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Smorgon wins, 0 draws, 1 Minsk II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Minsk II 1-0 Smorgon | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Smorgon score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Minsk II score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smorgon | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Minsk II | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smorgon sit 9th in 1. Division (39 points from 29 matches) and Minsk II sit 13th (30 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Smorgon | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 39 |
| 13 | Minsk II | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 52 | 30 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy