South Shields vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)1st Cloud Arena, South Shields, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Shields vs Marine?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Shields have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Marine have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 South Shields win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Marine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Marine 2-2 South Shields | National League - North |
| Aug 9, 2025 | South Shields 1-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Marine 4-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Dec 21, 2024 | South Shields 2-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Jan 7, 2023 | South Shields 2-1 Marine | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marine 2-2 South Shields | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Marine vs South Shields on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Shields sit 5th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Marine sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Shields vs Marine?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Marine.
- Where and when is South Shields vs Marine played?
- South Shields vs Marine is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.