Match

Spalding United vs Brackley Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire

Spalding UnitedBrackley Town

The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spalding United vs Brackley Town?

Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,691).

Spalding United win63 %
Draw21 %
Brackley Town win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Brackley Town have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spalding United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chester(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Macclesfield(home)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Oxford City(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Radcliffe(away)2-0National League - North
Jul 18, 2026Scunthorpe(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Brackley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Macclesfield(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026AFC Telford United(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Maidenhead(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spalding United1.71.448/157/15
Brackley Town0.71.617/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spalding United sit 13th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Brackley Town sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Spalding United4112224
15Brackley Town4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Brackley Town?
The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Brackley Town.
Where and when is Spalding United vs Brackley Town played?
Spalding United vs Brackley Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Spalding United and Brackley Town

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