ROW Rybnik vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Rybnik
The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ROW Rybnik vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ROW Rybnik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROW Rybnik | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ROW Rybnik sit 6th in III Liga - Group 3 (9 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ROW Rybnik vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Katowice.
- Where and when is ROW Rybnik vs Sparta Katowice played?
- ROW Rybnik vs Sparta Katowice is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 8, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsStal Brzeg
- May 8, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKluczbork
- May 8, 2027Warta GorzówvsSłowianin
- May 8, 2027Carina GubinvsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 8, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStilon Gorzów
- May 8, 2027Barycz SułówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój