Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, Nijkerk
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
On Elo ratings, Sparta Nijkerk has 1,835 points and DVS 33 Ermelo 1,788.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 3R. Huizing
- 11O. El Ghazouani
- 23T. Fonville
- 17R. Bakkenes
- 20V. van der Linde
- 9T. Pieters
- 4J. Makizodila
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 24Chima Anyasi
- 1S. van Steenis
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 11Benjamin Roemeon
- 19Owen Muller
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 2Nicky van Hilten
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Nijkerk have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sparta Nijkerk wins, 2 draws, 2 DVS 33 Ermelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-3 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 2-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 3-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | DVS 33 Ermelo 2-1 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| May 18, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-5 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Sparta Nijkerk on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Nijkerk score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th in Derde Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 15th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 14 |
| 15 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.