Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, Nijkerk
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31?
On Elo ratings, Sparta Nijkerk has 1,874 points and Excelsior '31 1,846.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 7T. Pieters
- 29T. Buitink
- 10M. Magan
- 8P. Vroegh
- 9W. Vink
- 21J. van Dalen
- 4J. Makizodila
- 28Jorrit Fiegen
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 34I. Bouwman
Excelsior '31
4-3-3- 21S. Holsink
- 9S. Seppenwoolde
- 11K. Wesselink
- 8N. Leemhuis
- 10S. ter Haar
- 20M. de Wilde
- 12M. Schrijver
- 3A. de Jong
- 5V. Schmidt
- 2S. Beverdam
- 1K. Reimink
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Nijkerk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ACV(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Nijkerk wins, 1 draw, 2 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Excelsior '31 3-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 4-3 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 0-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Excelsior '31 2-4 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Excelsior '31 1-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Nijkerk score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th in Derde Divisie (18 points from 12 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 18 |
A question about Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.