Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Varna
The Footlab model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Spartak Varna (1,714) and Dunav Ruse (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spartak Varna win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dunav Ruse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 1-3 Spartak Varna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Spartak Varna 3-1 Dunav Ruse | Second League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Dunav Ruse 0-1 Spartak Varna | Second League |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Spartak Varna 0-4 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Spartak Varna 3-1 Dunav Ruse | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Spartak Varna | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Varna sit 7th in First League (7 points from 6 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 13th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.