Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Slavia Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia (1,701) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 5David Malembana
- 99I. Andonov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 11R. Leijten
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 10J. Iliev
- 7Sevi Idriz
- 2Adrián Cova
- 22I. Ivanov
- 12E. Ali
- 4A. Chindriş
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slavia Sofia wins, 0 draws, 3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 19, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia sit 8th in First League (11 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv played?
- Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.