Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,781) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Darlington 1883 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 0-4 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Darlington 1883 1-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Darlington 1883 the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.