Juventude vs Botafogo SP: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Juventude the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Botafogo SP. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude vs Botafogo SP?
Juventude starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juventude vs Botafogo SP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juventude
3-4-3- 11Fábio Lima
- 25Alisson Safira
- 44Mandaca
- 75Raí
- 16Diogo Barbosa
- 29Gabriel Pires
- 13Aderlan
- 34Rodrigo Sam
- 4Messias
- 47Marcos Paulo
- 93Jandrei
Botafogo SP
3-4-3- 10Rafael Gava
- 9Hygor
- 7Kelvin
- 8Everton Morelli
- 6Patrick Brey
- 22Gabriel Inocêncio
- 16Matheus Sales
- 4Vilar
- 3Ericson
- 2Jonathan
- 1Victor Souza
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Botafogo SP have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Juventude win, 3 draws, 2 Botafogo SP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Botafogo SP 4-2 Juventude | Serie B |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Botafogo SP 0-2 Juventude | Serie B |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Juventude 1-2 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Botafogo SP 1-1 Juventude | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Juventude 0-0 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Juventude 0-0 Botafogo SP | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Botafogo SP vs Juventude on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo SP score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Botafogo SP | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventude sit 3rd in Serie B (60 points from 33 matches) and Botafogo SP sit 16th (41 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | 41 |
A question about Juventude vs Botafogo SP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude vs Botafogo SP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventude the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Botafogo SP.
- Where and when is Juventude vs Botafogo SP played?
- Juventude vs Botafogo SP is played on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.