CRB vs Ceara: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió, Alagoas
The Footlab AI model makes CRB the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ceara. The most likely score is 1-1. If CRB wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CRB vs Ceara?
On Elo ratings, CRB has 1,756 points and Ceara 1,739.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CRB vs Ceara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CRB
4-1-4-1- 28Mikael
- 10Daniel
- 21Pedro Castro
- 8Crystopher
- 97Dadá Belmonte
- 17Thiaguinho
- 33Lyncon
- 22Bressan
- 32Hereda
- 36Lucas Lovat
- 1Vitor Caetano
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 1Richard
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CRB have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ceara have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 CRB wins, 1 draw, 1 Ceara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Ceara 0-1 CRB | Serie B |
| Aug 21, 2024 | CRB 0-2 Ceara | Serie B |
| May 24, 2024 | Ceara 0-1 CRB | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 6, 2024 | Ceara 2-2 CRB | Serie B |
| May 2, 2024 | CRB 1-0 Ceara | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 7, 2023 | CRB 2-0 Ceara | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
CRB score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ceara | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CRB sit 7th in Serie B (52 points from 33 matches) and Ceara sit 14th (42 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 52 |
| 14 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 40 | 42 |
A question about CRB vs Ceara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CRB vs Ceara?
- The Footlab AI model makes CRB the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ceara.
- Where and when is CRB vs Ceara played?
- CRB vs Ceara is played on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Rei Pelé, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.