Sport Recife vs Juventude: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
The Footlab model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Juventude. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Juventude?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sport Recife (1,882) and Juventude (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Recife have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Juventude have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sport Recife win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Juventude win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Juventude 0-1 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Sport Recife 0-2 Juventude | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Juventude 2-0 Sport Recife | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Juventude 2-2 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Sport Recife 3-0 Juventude | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Sport Recife 3-1 Juventude | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Juventude vs Sport Recife on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Recife score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventude score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Juventude | 1.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Recife sit 6th in Serie B (38 points from 24 matches) and Juventude sit 2nd (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Recife vs Juventude?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Juventude.
- Where and when is Sport Recife vs Juventude played?
- Sport Recife vs Juventude is played on September 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.