Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia BielefeldDynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,019) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).

Arminia Bielefeld win41 %
Draw25 %
Dynamo Dresden win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
May 3, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Dynamo Dresden3. Liga
Dec 8, 2024Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Dec 20, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Dynamo Dresden3. Liga
Aug 5, 2023Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dynamo Dresden.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and Dynamo Dresden

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