Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,019) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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