Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia BielefeldDynamo Dresden

The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,012) and Dynamo Dresden (1,996).

50%24%26%
Arminia Bielefeld winDrawDynamo Dresden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arminia Bielefeld

5-4-1
  1. 11J. Grodowski
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 38M. Wörl
  3. 31L. Jensen
  4. 14M. Momuluh
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 17A. Sicker
  4. 3J. Felix
  5. 2F. Hagmann
  1. 1J. Kersken

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9V. Vermeij
  1. 18R. Wagner
  2. 20B. Bobzien
  3. 27N. Hauptmann
  4. 24P. Čović
  5. 21T. Raschl
  1. 6N. Rapp
  2. 32J. Sterner
  3. 44S. Straudi
  4. 42F. Muller
  1. 22L. Grill

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Teplice(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld wins, 2 draws, 4 Dynamo Dresden wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
May 3, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Dynamo Dresden3. Liga
Dec 8, 2024Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Dec 20, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Dynamo Dresden3. Liga
Aug 5, 2023Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.41.5410/1512/15
Dynamo Dresden2.91.458/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (8 points from 7 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Arminia Bielefeld722311128
17Dynamo Dresden71249155

A question about Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dynamo Dresden.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and Dynamo Dresden

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