SS Reyes vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Guadalajara?
SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 SS Reyes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | SS Reyes 1-2 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Guadalajara 6-0 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | SS Reyes 2-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Guadalajara 1-2 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | SS Reyes 1-1 Guadalajara | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SS Reyes vs Guadalajara on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SS Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is SS Reyes vs Guadalajara played?
- SS Reyes vs Guadalajara is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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