Match

SS Reyes vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS ReyesGuadalajara

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Guadalajara?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,881).

SS Reyes win55 %
Draw25 %
Guadalajara win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Guadalajara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Marchamalo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Athletic Club II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Arenteiro(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 SS Reyes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025SS Reyes 1-2 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 5, 2024Guadalajara 6-0 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 14, 2024SS Reyes 2-1 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2023Guadalajara 1-2 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jul 29, 2023SS Reyes 1-1 GuadalajaraFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SS Reyes vs Guadalajara on Feb 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15
Guadalajara1.51.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Guadalajara?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs Guadalajara played?
SS Reyes vs Guadalajara is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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