SS Reyes vs CD Coria: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
The Footlab AI model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If SS Reyes wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes vs CD Coria?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate SS Reyes (2,013) and CD Coria (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Reyes vs CD Coria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Reyes
4-3-3- 22Ariel Herrero
- 9Fer Harta
- 7Samu Pérez
- 8Mario González
- 23Álvaro José
- 21Yago Gandoy
- 20Marvin Anieboh
- 20Edu Viaña
- 12Tito
- 2Aarón González
- 1Alberto Lejárraga
CD Coria
4-3-3- 9P. Palacin
- 11Alejandro Lopez-Vadillo
- 7Iván Ramos
- 17Álex Blanco
- 18J. Gallastegi
- 8Edu Llorente
- 3Jacobo Guzmán
- 22B. Núñez
- 20Iñaki León
- 5Trapero
- 1Aarón Rodríguez
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CD Coria have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SS Reyes win, 3 draws, 0 CD Coria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | CD Coria 1-1 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | SS Reyes 3-0 CD Coria | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | CD Coria 2-2 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | SS Reyes 1-1 CD Coria | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| CD Coria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about SS Reyes vs CD Coria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs CD Coria?
- The Footlab AI model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for CD Coria.
- Where and when is SS Reyes vs CD Coria played?
- SS Reyes vs CD Coria is played on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.