Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado
The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Chicago Fire. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,772) and Chicago Fire (1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chicago Fire have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colorado Rapids win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chicago Fire win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2019 | Chicago Fire 4-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 14, 2018 | Colorado Rapids 2-2 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| May 18, 2017 | Chicago Fire 3-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Colorado Rapids 2-1 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Chicago Fire 0-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 5, 2014 | Colorado Rapids 0-0 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Chicago Fire vs Colorado Rapids on Apr 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chicago Fire score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Chicago Fire | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Rapids sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and Chicago Fire sit 3rd (36 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 36 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Chicago Fire.
- Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire played?
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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