Match

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado

Colorado RapidsChicago Fire

The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chicago Fire wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,841) and Chicago Fire (1,939).

28%24%48%
Colorado Rapids winDrawChicago Fire win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colorado Rapids

4-3-3
  1. 10P. Aaronson
  2. 32D. Phillip
  3. 7M. Whittaker
  1. 13W. Frederick II
  2. 8H. Ojediran
  3. 12J. Atencio
  1. 6R. Holding
  2. 5Loïc Williams
  3. 29M. Navarro
  4. 4R. Cannon
  1. 41N. Defreitas

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
  1. 7M. Haile-Selassie
  2. 9R. Lewandowski
  1. 19J. Bamba
  2. 6A. Salétros
  3. 11P. Zinckernagel
  4. 42T. D'Avilla
  1. 3J. Elliott
  2. 24J. Dean
  3. 4M. Mbokazi
  4. 2Leonardo Barroso
  1. 1C. Brady

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chicago Fire have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colorado Rapids
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Seattle Sounders(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2026St. Louis City(home)0-3US Open Cup
Chicago Fire
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)1-3Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026New York City FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Oct 7, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026Charlotte(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-3Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colorado Rapids wins, 2 draws, 2 Chicago Fire wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2019Chicago Fire 4-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Jun 14, 2018Colorado Rapids 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
May 18, 2017Chicago Fire 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Jun 19, 2016Colorado Rapids 2-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Aug 23, 2015Chicago Fire 0-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Jun 5, 2014Colorado Rapids 0-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Chicago Fire vs Colorado Rapids on Apr 20, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Colorado Rapids score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chicago Fire score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colorado Rapids1.11.365/156/15
Chicago Fire1.71.6113/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colorado Rapids sit 9th in Major League Soccer (38 points from 29 matches) and Chicago Fire sit 4th (48 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chicago FireEastern Conference291469524348
9Colorado RapidsWestern Conference2911513414138

A question about Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Colorado Rapids.
Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire played?
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire

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