St. Lucia vs Barbados: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Darren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
The Footlab AI model makes St. Lucia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Barbados. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Lucia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Lucia vs Barbados?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate St. Lucia (1,421) and Barbados (1,367).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Lucia vs Barbados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Lucia
4-2-3-1- 9D. Phillip
- 14C. Elva
- 11Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 13Bayan Aman
- 21S. Nelson
- 4Eymani Butcher
- 6M. Doxilly
- 5D. Lionel
- 2K. Frederick
- 19Alvinus Myers
- 1V. Barclett
Barbados
Not enough data to predict the Barbados lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Lucia have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Barbados have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Guadeloupe(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guadeloupe(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 5-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-6 | FIFA Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bermuda(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Guadeloupe(away) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | St. Lucia(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 St. Lucia win, 0 draws, 1 Barbados win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barbados 2-0 St. Lucia | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2025 | St. Lucia 2-1 Barbados | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
Last archived meeting: Barbados vs St. Lucia on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Lucia score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barbados score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Barbados | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Lucia vs Barbados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Lucia vs Barbados?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Lucia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Barbados.
- Where and when is St. Lucia vs Barbados played?
- St. Lucia vs Barbados is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Darren Sammy Cricket Ground, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.