Alvechurch vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Stamford?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Stamford (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stamford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Alvechurch 2-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stamford 0-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Stamford 1-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Alvechurch 0-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Alvechurch 4-3 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Stamford 0-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Stamford on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Stamford?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Stamford played?
- Alvechurch vs Stamford is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Hitchin TownvsStourbridge
- Sep 12, 2026Halesowen TownvsLeighton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeiston
- Sep 12, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeamington
- Sep 12, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBury Town
- Sep 12, 2026Needham MarketvsWorcester City
- Sep 12, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 12, 2026Kettering TownvsStratford Town