Match

Alvechurch vs Stamford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire

AlvechurchStamford

The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Stamford?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Stamford (1,696).

Alvechurch win55 %
Draw26 %
Stamford win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alvechurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Needham Market(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Worcester City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Stamford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worcester City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Racing Club Warwick(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bury Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stourbridge(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Harborough Town(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stamford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Alvechurch 2-0 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 9, 2025Stamford 0-0 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 15, 2025Stamford 1-0 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Sep 21, 2024Alvechurch 0-1 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 17, 2024Alvechurch 4-3 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 14, 2023Stamford 0-1 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Stamford on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alvechurch1.40.949/156/15
Stamford1.01.273/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alvechurch3201526
22Stamford3003150

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Stamford?
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stamford.
Where and when is Alvechurch vs Stamford played?
Alvechurch vs Stamford is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Alvechurch and Stamford

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