Match

Stanway Rovers vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway RoversCray Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Cray Wanderers?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Stanway Rovers (1,727) and Cray Wanderers (1,825).

Stanway Rovers win32 %
Draw25 %
Cray Wanderers win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Welling United(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Ramsgate(home)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cheshunt(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Heybridge Swifts(away)5-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Cray Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cheshunt(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 14, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers1.51.567/159/15
Cray Wanderers1.91.5411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Cray Wanderers4121445
21Stanway Rovers4013291

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Cray Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stanway Rovers.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Cray Wanderers played?
Stanway Rovers vs Cray Wanderers is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stanway Rovers and Cray Wanderers

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