Match

Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway RoversWhitehawk

The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Stanway Rovers (1,723) and Whitehawk (1,657).

Stanway Rovers win49 %
Draw24 %
Whitehawk win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Welling United(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Ramsgate(home)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cheshunt(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Heybridge Swifts(away)5-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers1.51.567/159/15
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Whitehawk4013281
21Stanway Rovers4013291

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?
The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk played?
Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stanway Rovers and Whitehawk

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