Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Stanway Rovers (1,723) and Whitehawk (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heybridge Swifts(away) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk?
- The Footlab model makes Stanway Rovers the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk played?
- Stanway Rovers vs Whitehawk is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026DartfordvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 7, 2026St Albans CityvsWelling United
- Nov 7, 2026RamsgatevsAveley
- Nov 7, 2026Three BridgesvsBrentwood Town
- Nov 7, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsCheshunt
- Nov 7, 2026Cray WanderersvsLeatherhead
- Nov 7, 2026Enfield TownvsWhyteleafe
- Nov 7, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsMaldon & Tiptree