Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński played?

Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania Gdansk

Stargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Stargard Szczeciński starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,668).

Gedania Gdansk win33 %

Draw23 %

Stargard Szczeciński win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 2-1 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 3, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
May 25, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 3-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 4, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 4, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 6, 2022	Gedania Gdansk 2-5 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Gedania Gdansk on Nov 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński played?: Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.