Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz played?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard Szczeciński

Unia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).

Stargard Szczeciński win41 %

Draw24 %

Unia Swarzędz win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 11, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 15, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 21, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 0-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 16, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 3-0 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz played?: Stargard Szczeciński vs Unia Swarzędz is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.