Luzino vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Polonia Środa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Polonia Środa?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Luzino (1,893) and Polonia Środa (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Polonia Środa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Polonia Środa 1-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Luzino 2-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Polonia Środa 3-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Luzino 0-4 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Luzino on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Polonia Środa?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Polonia Środa.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Polonia Środa played?
- Luzino vs Polonia Środa is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsNoteć Czarnków
- May 15, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsUnia Swarzędz
- May 15, 2027KaliszvsGedania Gdansk
- May 15, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsWda Świecie
- May 15, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsLech Poznań II
- May 15, 2027Victoria WrześniavsElana Toruń
- May 15, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsKluczevia Stargard
- May 15, 2027Lipno StęszewvsGrom Nowy Staw