Match

Luzino vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino

LuzinoPolonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Polonia Środa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzino vs Polonia Środa?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Luzino (1,893) and Polonia Środa (1,873).

Luzino win43 %
Draw23 %
Polonia Środa win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2
Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Victoria Września(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Polonia Środa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2026Polonia Środa 1-2 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 27, 2025Luzino 2-2 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 10, 2024Polonia Środa 3-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2023Luzino 0-4 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Luzino on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15
Polonia Środa1.91.248/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa550015415
4Luzino531114710

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Polonia Środa?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Polonia Środa.
Where and when is Luzino vs Polonia Środa played?
Luzino vs Polonia Środa is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Luzino and Polonia Środa

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