Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Stargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).

Unia Swarzędz win35 %

Draw25 %

Stargard Szczeciński win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 11, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 15, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 21, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 0-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 16, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 3-0 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2023	Stargard Szczeciński 1-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.