Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg played?

Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Stal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,629).

Górnik Polkowice win58 %

Draw21 %

Stal Brzeg win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	Stal Brzeg 2-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 31, 2024	Górnik Polkowice 1-1 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg played?: Górnik Polkowice vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.