Stockton Town vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Workington?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,782) and Workington (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Stockton Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Workington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Workington 0-1 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Stockton Town 6-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Workington 1-3 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Stockton Town 5-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Workington vs Stockton Town on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockton Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Stockton Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Workington?
- The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Workington.
- Where and when is Stockton Town vs Workington played?
- Stockton Town vs Workington is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsGuiseley AFC
- Dec 26, 2026Hyde UnitedvsAshton United
- Dec 26, 2026Curzon AshtonvsAvro
- Dec 26, 2026Ilkeston TownvsAlfreton Town
- Dec 26, 2026Leek TownvsQuorn
- Dec 26, 2026Lancaster CityvsBamber Bridge
- Dec 26, 2026United of ManchestervsBury
- Dec 26, 2026Whitby TownvsRedcar Athletic