Match

Stockton Town vs Workington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees

Stockton TownWorkington

The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stockton Town vs Workington?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,782) and Workington (1,693).

Stockton Town win48 %
Draw26 %
Workington win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stockton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ashton United(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Ilkeston Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Workington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026United of Manchester(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Avro(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Stockton Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Workington win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Workington 0-1 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Aug 12, 2025Stockton Town 6-0 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 1, 2025Workington 1-3 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 23, 2024Stockton Town 5-0 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Workington vs Stockton Town on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stockton Town0.91.437/155/15
Workington1.11.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stockton Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Stockton Town5113474
19Workington51135104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Workington?
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Workington.
Where and when is Stockton Town vs Workington played?
Stockton Town vs Workington is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stockton Town and Workington

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