Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pervomayskiy, Penza
The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Zenit Penza. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Salyut-Belgorod starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit Penza have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Salyut-Belgorod have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | SKA Rostov(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotor-2(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orel(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zenit Penza win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Salyut-Belgorod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod 1-2 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Zenit Penza 0-1 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Salyut-Belgorod 2-0 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Zenit Penza 2-2 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Salyut-Belgorod 1-1 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Zenit Penza 1-3 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Salyut-Belgorod vs Zenit Penza on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit Penza score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salyut-Belgorod score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Penza | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Salyut-Belgorod | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit Penza sit 13th in Second League - Group 3 (17 points from 19 matches) and Salyut-Belgorod sit 3rd (39 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Salyut-Belgorod | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 13 | Zenit Penza | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 38 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
- The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Zenit Penza.
- Where and when is Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod played?
- Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pervomayskiy, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.