Sudan vs Ethiopia: result 2-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship - Qualification2nd RoundKick-off on December 25, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
Full time
What was the result of Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Sudan won 2-1 on December 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 16′?Sudan
- 64′B. BekeleEthiopia
- 69′Mohamed AbdelrahmanSudan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudan have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ethiopia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Ethiopia(away) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Angola(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Niger(away) | 0-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Tanzania(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sudan(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Congo DR(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Tanzania(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Guinea(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Guinea(away) | 1-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sudan wins, 2 draws, 1 Ethiopia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Ethiopia 0-2 Sudan | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 30, 2021 | Sudan 2-3 Ethiopia | Friendlies |
| Aug 17, 2017 | Sudan 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Ethiopia 1-1 Sudan | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Ethiopia 1-1 Sudan | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Ethiopia 0-2 Sudan | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudan score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Ethiopia | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sudan vs Ethiopia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy