Sudan vs Ethiopia: result 2-3 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on December 30, 2021 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
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What was the result of Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Ethiopia won 2-3 on December 30, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Sudan
- 10′Amanuel Gebremichael AregwaiEthiopia
- 37′Amanuel Gebremichael AregwaiEthiopia
- 58′S. BekeleEthiopia
- 78′?Sudan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ethiopia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | Lebanon(away) | 0-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Egypt(home) | 0-5 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Algeria(away) | 0-4 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Morocco(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Ghana(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 12, 2021 | South Africa(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 9, 2021 | South Africa(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sudan wins, 2 draws, 0 Ethiopia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2017 | Sudan 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Ethiopia 1-1 Sudan | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Ethiopia 1-1 Sudan | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Ethiopia 0-2 Sudan | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudan score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethiopia | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sudan vs Ethiopia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy