Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Slokas Stadiona
The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for BFC Daugavpils. The most likely score is 1-1. If Super Nova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Super Nova (1,589) and BFC Daugavpils (1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Super Nova
4-2-3-1- 10V. Lizunovs
- 8I. Patrikejevs
- 9Bamba
- 6E. Emsis
- 15R. Ķiršs
- 24R. Šitjakovs
- 25M. Ošs
- 5J. Cīrulis
- 3R. Iida
- 16K. Romanovs
- 90D. Veisbuks
BFC Daugavpils
4-2-3-1- 97D. Kiwinda
- 10E. Ivanovs
- 11J. Yakubu
- 19E. Pinaskins
- 9A. Traore
- 4W. Mukwelle
- 8R. Skrebels
- 37Gļebs Mihaļcovs
- 34Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
- 5Papa
- 12J. Beks
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Riga(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tukums(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Super Nova wins, 4 draws, 0 BFC Daugavpils wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Super Nova 0-0 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Jun 16, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils 2-2 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Super Nova 1-1 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Super Nova 4-1 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Super Nova sit 6th in Virsliga (38 points from 31 matches) and BFC Daugavpils sit 5th (42 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 41 | 38 |
A question about Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
- The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for BFC Daugavpils.
- Where and when is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils played?
- Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Slokas Stadiona, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.