Tukums vs Auda: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Tukums. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,343 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tukums vs Auda?
Auda is a heavy favourite: 1,813 Elo points against 1,504, a 308-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tukums vs Auda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tukums
3-5-2- 27R. Deružinskis
- 11Leoni Gastaldelo
- 10B. Samoilovs
- 5J. Toba
- 4Kaspars Anmanis
- 16Kristaps Klavins
- 17M. Derkach
- 6K. Volkovs
- 21D. Valmiers
- 8R. Reingolcs
- 12A. Kuprins
Auda
4-3-3- 47K. Kone
- 7A. Appiah
- 23Mahamoud Fofana
- 25B. Diedhiou
- 8E. Bongemba
- 17E. Dašķevičs
- 4M. Ouedraogo
- 3D. Balodis
- 71O. Rubenis
- 6R. Kragliks
- 98N. Puriņš
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Auda have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Riga(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 1-4 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tukums wins, 0 draws, 3 Auda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Auda 3-0 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Tukums 2-1 Auda | Virsliga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Auda 2-1 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Auda 0-1 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Tukums 1-0 Auda | Virsliga |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Tukums 2-4 Auda | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Auda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Auda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tukums sit 9th in Virsliga (24 points from 32 matches) and Auda sit 3rd (64 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 9 | Tukums | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | 24 |
A question about Tukums vs Auda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tukums vs Auda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Tukums.
- Where and when is Tukums vs Auda played?
- Tukums vs Auda is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.