Riga vs Rīgas FS: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadions Skonto, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Rīgas FS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Riga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga vs Rīgas FS?
On Elo ratings, Riga has 2,037 points and Rīgas FS 1,961.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riga vs Rīgas FS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riga
4-2-3-1- 10Reginaldo Ramires
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 40A. Ankrah
- 22M. Diop
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 99Caio
- 5K. Wassom
- 23M. Toņiševs
- 17A. Salazar
- 34A. Černomordijs
- 12K. Pirić
Rīgas FS
4-2-3-1- 15R. Ndjiki
- 18D. Zelenkovs
- 26S. Panić
- 8L. Odisharia
- 66M. Saidy
- 10J. Ikaunieks
- 23H. Prenga
- 43Ž. Lipušček
- 6A. Filipović
- 99S. Kumater
- 1R. Matrevics
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Rīgas FS have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aris(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 4-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Riga wins, 3 draws, 1 Rīgas FS win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Rīgas FS 2-3 Riga | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rīgas FS 3-3 Riga | Virsliga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Riga 2-1 Rīgas FS | Virsliga |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Rīgas FS 3-3 Riga | Virsliga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Riga 3-4 Rīgas FS | Virsliga |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Rīgas FS 0-0 Riga | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rīgas FS score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rīgas FS | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga sit 2nd in Virsliga (76 points from 32 matches) and Rīgas FS sit 1st (77 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 31 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 77 |
| 2 | Riga | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 76 |
A question about Riga vs Rīgas FS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga vs Rīgas FS?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Rīgas FS.
- Where and when is Riga vs Rīgas FS played?
- Riga vs Rīgas FS is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadions Skonto, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.