Match

Svay Rieng vs Home United: prediction and stats

ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on December 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sports Complex Svay Rieng, Svay Rieng

Svay RiengHome United

The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Home United. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Svay Rieng vs Home United?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Svay Rieng (1,873) and Home United (1,809).

Svay Rieng win59 %
Draw21 %
Home United win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svay Rieng have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Home United have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Svay Rieng
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Visakha(home)4-4Hun Sen Cup
May 20, 2026Boeung Ket(home)3-2Hun Sen Cup
May 17, 2026Phnom Penh Crown(home)1-2C-League
May 13, 2026Al Kuwait(away)3-4AFC Challenge League
May 7, 2026Boeung Ket(home)2-3C-League
Home United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-3Premier League
May 10, 2026Albirex Niigata S(home)0-2Premier League
May 3, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)0-0Premier League
Apr 26, 2026Geylang International(away)3-0Premier League
Apr 20, 2026Young Lions(home)2-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Svay Rieng win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Home United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 5, 2026Home United 0-2 Svay RiengASEAN Club Championship

Last archived meeting: Home United vs Svay Rieng on Feb 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Svay Rieng2.31.8213/1510/15
Home United2.70.985/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Svay Rieng sit 3rd in ASEAN Club Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Home United sit 4th (4 points from 5 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Svay Rieng4211847
4Home United51136124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Svay Rieng vs Home United?
The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Home United.
Where and when is Svay Rieng vs Home United played?
Svay Rieng vs Home United is played on December 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sports Complex Svay Rieng, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Svay Rieng and Home United

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