Svay Rieng vs Home United: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on December 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sports Complex Svay Rieng, Svay Rieng
The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Home United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svay Rieng vs Home United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Svay Rieng (1,873) and Home United (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svay Rieng have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Home United have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 4-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 3-2 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | AFC Challenge League |
| May 7, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Svay Rieng win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Home United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Home United 0-2 Svay Rieng | ASEAN Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Home United vs Svay Rieng on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svay Rieng | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svay Rieng sit 3rd in ASEAN Club Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Home United sit 4th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Home United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svay Rieng vs Home United?
- The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Home United.
- Where and when is Svay Rieng vs Home United played?
- Svay Rieng vs Home United is played on December 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sports Complex Svay Rieng, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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