Wrexham vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wrexham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wrexham vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Wrexham (2,035) and Swansea (2,055).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wrexham vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 8E. Just
- 14J. Tymon
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Swansea have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wrexham win, 1 draw, 1 Swansea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Swansea 0-0 Wrexham | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Wrexham 2-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Swansea 2-1 Wrexham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Swansea | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wrexham sit 17th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Swansea sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Wrexham vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Wrexham vs Swansea played?
- Wrexham vs Swansea is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at STōK Cae Ras, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.