Swindon Town vs Tranmere: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Tranmere?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,787) and Tranmere (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Tranmere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 7T. Nichols
- 27A. Munda
- 25J. Thomson
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 26D. Butler
- 6J. Ball
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 1C. Ripley
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tranmere have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Swindon Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Tranmere win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tranmere 0-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Swindon Town 2-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Tranmere 1-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Tranmere 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Swindon Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 17th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Tranmere sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Tranmere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Tranmere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Tranmere played?
- Swindon Town vs Tranmere is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.