Tranmere vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tranmere wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Tranmere (1,686) and Accrington ST (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tranmere vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tranmere wins, 2 draws, 2 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Tranmere 0-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Accrington ST 1-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Accrington ST 3-3 Tranmere | League Two |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Tranmere 0-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Tranmere 2-1 Accrington ST | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Tranmere 3-0 Accrington ST | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Accrington ST on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 13th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Accrington ST sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Tranmere vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Accrington ST played?
- Tranmere vs Accrington ST is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.