Match

Port Vale vs Rotherham: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Port ValeRotherham

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Port Vale vs Rotherham?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,721).

55%27%18%
Port Vale winDrawRotherham win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Rotherham

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Rotherham

3-4-1-2
  1. 10P. Mullin
  2. 9T. Bradshaw
  1. 12D. Hall
  2. 4J. Austerfield
  3. 24J. Buyabu
  4. 28Brandon Ashley Cover
  5. 6O. Ashley
  1. 14Sonny Aljofree
  2. 27D. Iorfa
  3. 26H. Douglas
  1. 13J. Eyestone

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rotherham have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Rotherham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)0-2League Two
Oct 10, 2026Gillingham(home)1-4League Two
Oct 6, 2026Bradford(home)0-4EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Exeter City(away)0-1League Two
Sep 26, 2026Crewe(home)1-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Port Vale wins, 1 draw, 3 Rotherham wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2026Port Vale 1-0 RotherhamLeague One
Aug 2, 2025Rotherham 2-1 Port ValeLeague One
Aug 10, 2022Port Vale 1-2 RotherhamLeague Cup
Nov 30, 2021Rotherham 1-1 Port ValeEFL Trophy
Apr 21, 2014Rotherham 1-0 Port ValeLeague One
Dec 29, 2013Port Vale 2-0 RotherhamLeague One

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Rotherham on Apr 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Port Vale0.90.974/153/15
Rotherham1.01.9110/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Port Vale sit 21st in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Rotherham sit 23rd (10 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21Port Vale93245911
23Rotherham11245121810

A question about Port Vale vs Rotherham?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Rotherham?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Rotherham.
Where and when is Port Vale vs Rotherham played?
Port Vale vs Rotherham is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Port Vale and Rotherham

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