Accrington ST vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,714) and Chesterfield (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 38C. O'Brien
- 39J. Woods
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 5F. Rawson
- 1L. Moulden
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 4T. Naylor
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Accrington ST wins, 1 draw, 3 Chesterfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Accrington ST 0-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Chesterfield 3-3 Accrington ST | League Two |
| May 3, 2025 | Accrington ST 0-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Accrington ST 2-3 Chesterfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Accrington ST 4-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Chesterfield on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 9th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Chesterfield sit 10th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Chesterfield played?
- Accrington ST vs Chesterfield is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.