Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sydney. The most likely score is 1-1. If Western Sydney Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
On Elo ratings, Sydney has 1,890 points and Western Sydney Wanderers 1,771.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 90O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 29J. Lacey
- 7A. Akon
- 15J. Hollman
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 1G. Hoefsloot
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1- 26B. Borello
- 32A. Thurgate
- 8Dylan Scicluna
- 36P. Madanha
- 7A. Hammond
- 6S. Ugarković
- 22A. Pantazopoulos
- 3A. Gersbach
- 33G. Ferreyra
- 25J. Brillante
- 20L. Thomas
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sydney wins, 1 draw, 1 Western Sydney Wanderers win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-2 Sydney | A-League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sydney 4-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sydney 3-3 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Sydney 4-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Sydney | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sydney sit 5th in A-League (39 points from 26 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
A question about Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sydney.
- Where and when is Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on October 16, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.