Macarthur vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macarthur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macarthur vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Macarthur (1,799) and Perth Glory (1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macarthur vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 8L. Vickery
- 23K. Grozos
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macarthur have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Macarthur wins, 2 draws, 2 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory 3-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Macarthur 0-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur | A-League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Macarthur 6-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Macarthur on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macarthur sit 7th in A-League (34 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Macarthur vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macarthur vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Macarthur vs Perth Glory played?
- Macarthur vs Perth Glory is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.