Taguatinga EC vs Planaltina DF: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Planaltina DF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taguatinga EC vs Planaltina DF?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Taguatinga EC (1,676) and Planaltina DF (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Taguatinga EC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Planaltina DF have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Legião(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Legião(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SESP Samambaense(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Brasília(home) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Candango(away) | 7-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | GREVAL(away) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Riacho City(home) | 6-0 | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
Taguatinga EC score 2.6 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 9; Planaltina DF score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taguatinga EC | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| Planaltina DF | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 1/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taguatinga EC vs Planaltina DF?
- The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Planaltina DF.
- Where and when is Taguatinga EC vs Planaltina DF played?
- Taguatinga EC vs Planaltina DF is played on September 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.