Takeley vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1/128-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Full Vision Stadium, Takeley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Takeley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chertsey Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Takeley vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Takeley
Not enough data to predict the Takeley lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Takeley have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aylesbury United(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 29, 2026 | London Lions(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wroxham(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brightlingsea Regent(away) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sheppey United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Takeley score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takeley | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Takeley.
- Where and when is Takeley vs Chertsey Town played?
- Takeley vs Chertsey Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Full Vision Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.