Tartu Welco vs Elva: result 1-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on May 9, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tamme staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Elva won 1-2 on May 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 42′M. ThomsonElva (pen.)
- 52′M. ThomsonElva (pen.)
- 64′60606Tartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Elva have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 1, 2018 | Maardu(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Keila(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Flora II(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Keila(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| May 3, 2018 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 1-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 21, 2018 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tartu Welco win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Elva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2018 | Elva 2-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 7, 2017 | Tartu Welco 1-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Elva 2-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 9, 2017 | Elva 1-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Tartu Welco 1-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 0.9 | 2.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Elva | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (38 points from 16 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy