Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and BFC Preussen (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 BFC Preussen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin 1-4 BFC Preussen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | BFC Preussen 1-0 Tasmania Berlin | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 3-2 BFC Preussen | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 6, 2023 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 BFC Preussen | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen?
- The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for BFC Preussen.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 4, 2027Hallescher FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 4, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 4, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 4, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 4, 2027LuckenwaldevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 4, 2027RSV EintrachtvsAltglienicke
- Apr 4, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Dynamo