Match

Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinBFC Preussen

The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and BFC Preussen (1,841).

Tasmania Berlin win41 %
Draw25 %
BFC Preussen win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 BFC Preussen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 24, 2026Tasmania Berlin 1-4 BFC PreussenFriendlies Clubs
Apr 12, 2025BFC Preussen 1-0 Tasmania BerlinOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Oct 18, 2024Tasmania Berlin 3-2 BFC PreussenOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 6, 2023Tasmania Berlin 1-1 BFC PreussenFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen on Jun 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
BFC Preussen1.61.719/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Tasmania Berlin51046183
17BFC Preussen60244112

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen?
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for BFC Preussen.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen played?
Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and BFC Preussen

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