Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC Carl Zeiss Jena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena (2,004).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 1, 2025 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 15, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2023 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC Carl Zeiss Jena.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 4, 2027Hallescher FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 4, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 4, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 4, 2027LuckenwaldevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 4, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 4, 2027RSV EintrachtvsAltglienicke
- Apr 4, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Dynamo