Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC?
Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde 1-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 0-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 2-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC played?
- Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 4, 2027Hallescher FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 4, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 4, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 4, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 4, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 4, 2027RSV EintrachtvsAltglienicke
- Apr 4, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Dynamo