Chemnitzer FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 2, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 4, 2027Hallescher FCvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 4, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 4, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 4, 2027LuckenwaldevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 4, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 4, 2027RSV EintrachtvsAltglienicke
- Apr 4, 2027Magdeburg IIvsBFC Dynamo